New York Times / US estimates 60 thousand deaths by August, crisis will continue next year




·      Most experts are confident that the economy will run faster as the situation improves 

·      Disease spreads in rural areas of some states, 65% feared to be infected

America. David McNeill. US President Donald Trump is in favor of starting business activities soon but there has been no decline in the spread of corona virus. It is now moving from big cities, suburbs to rural areas. Some experts say the situation may be serious until next year. There is no definite estimate of the number of deaths. The new estimate is of 60 thousand deaths. 17 lakh deaths have been feared in March.



The New York Times has discussed the situation with 20 experts in health and infectious diseases. Some people are of the opinion that in order to improve the conditions, careful business will have to be started, large-scale testing, effective treatment, providing adequate health resources and effective vaccine measures. Nevertheless, the prediction of next year's bleakness cannot be ignored. There are reports of infection spreading from rural areas in many states.





People have to stay indoors for months - experts

Dr. Harvey Finberg, former president of the National Academy of Medicine, says people have to stay indoors for months. Dr. William Schaffner, a medicine specialist at Vanderbilt University Medical College, says that my optimistic side says that the virus outbreak will occur between June and August. Most experts believe that once the crisis is over, the economy will run very fast. The most affected by the epidemic, New York, has seen a decrease in hospitalizations.



Experts believe - death rate will increase if medicine is not made

The Washington University Health Matrix Evaluation Institute has now estimated 60,000 deaths. This estimate is for 4 August. Earlier he had predicted the death of one to two lakh 40 thousand people. If the vaccine is not produced, then the death toll will also increase. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) contacted several experts in March. It was then estimated that the virus would infect 48 to 65 percent of Americans. If the death rate is kept below one percent, then 17 lakh people can die.





There is a lot more open in the US than China-Italy

When compared to China and Italy, a lot is still open in America. Some domestic airlines continue, people can roam the streets, parks wherever they can go by vehicles. Dr. Schaffner says that because of this, 30,000 new cases are coming to the country every day. Experts are not even sure about coming soon. Dr. Anthony Fossey, President Donald Trump's scientific adviser and expert on infectious diseases, says it can take at least a year to 18 months to produce a vaccine.





Despite serious condition, all activities have not stopped

·       Many activities are going on. Domestic airlines continue. People drive vehicles. Roads roam the parks.

·       Experts have estimated deaths of 60 to 17 lakh people.

·       Some experts expect the outbreak to slow down between June and August.

·       The vaccine is unlikely to arrive very soon. It may take up to one and a half year.

·       The most affected are the number of New York City hospitals admitted.

Comments